At Institut français des relations internationales’ (Ifri) recent international seminar, Eurasia in an Age of War: Strategic Reconfigurations and Power Rivalries, APRI Armenia’s Vice President of Strategy and Development, Anahide Pilibossian, shared insights on “The Caucasus, Central Asia, and the Caspian Region: Strategic Constraints and Room for Maneuver.”
Key highlights:
- For Tehran, the South Caucasus—and Armenia in particular—serves as a privileged core connection to Europe.
- A primary goal for Tehran is to exclude rivals such as the United States and Israel from regional affairs. While Iran seeks stability on its northern periphery, it remains highly sensitive to American and Israeli presence, signaling that Armenia must carefully balance and increase its engagement with Tehran to mitigate risks.
- The future firmness of Iran’s opposition to regional initiatives such as the Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity (TRIPP) will largely depend on the evolution of direct negotiations between Washington and Tehran.